Post-Baccalaureate Guidance: Anatomy of an Organized Chaos
By Roxan Roumégas (PhD)
Every year, it is the same ritual. Hundreds of thousands of French high school students find themselves facing a choice that should determine their professional future... at 17 or 18 years old. And every year, the observation is damning. 56% of 18-24-year-olds regret their educational choice. How did we get here? Why does this crucial moment in a young person's life look more like a Kafkaesque lottery than an enlightened journey?
The Paradox of Information: Too Much Yet Never Enough
First problem, and not the least, information inflation. Between 25,000 and 30,000 training programs are available today in France, from BTS to master's, public to private. A plethoric offering that should, in theory, allow every student to find their path. In reality, exactly the opposite happens.
Faced with this mass of information, high school students find themselves paralyzed. Institutional sites such as ONISEP or Parcoursup offer exhaustive but cold catalogs, soulless technical datasheets that say nothing of a student's real experience, the atmosphere of a class year, or the true career prospects of a program. Result? We often choose by default, by geographical proximity, or on the approximate advice of an uncle who knows someone who did that.
Parcoursup, the Monopoly That Crystallizes All Frustrations
Impossible to talk about guidance without mentioning Parcoursup, which in a few years has become the very symbol of the system's dysfunction. This unique, mandatory platform was supposed to simplify procedures. It mainly created a new stress — that of waiting, of the opaque algorithm, of responses that trickle in drop by drop over weeks.
The problem with Parcoursup lies not so much in its technical functioning as in what it reveals: the total absence of human support. The platform does not advise, does not guide, does not reassure. It is content to be a digitized administrative counter, leaving young people alone facing choices they do not always understand.
Worse still, Parcoursup resolves nothing of the fundamental problem. How do you help an adolescent make enlightened choices when they often have no idea what really awaits them in this or that field?
The Digital and Social Divide: Guidance at Two Speeds
Behind the apparent chaos lies an even crueler reality. Guidance is deeply unequal. Informed families — those who have the codes, who know the good programs and strategic pathways — get by. The others navigate blindly.
The divide is not only social, it is also geographical. A Parisian high school student will have access to a multitude of fairs, forums, networks. A pupil from a rural high school will have to make do with brochures and the internet. And when digital solutions exist, one must still know how to use them, decipher them, have the means to travel to visit institutions.
This asymmetry turns guidance into a machine for reproducing inequalities. Those who already have the keys succeed; the others try their luck without a safety net.
The Mirage of AI and Algorithms
Faced with this observation, new platforms regularly emerge, promising to revolutionize guidance through artificial intelligence and data science. They calculate your chances of admission, recommend personalized programs, promise guidance 2.0.
But these tools, however sophisticated, all stumble on the same pitfall. They cannot replace human support. An algorithm will never understand an adolescent's doubts, their buried passions, their fears, their need to be reassured. An algorithm cannot say, "What if you tried this? I have a hunch it might suit you."
Moreover, these mathematical models remain opaque. How are these admission chances calculated? On what data? With what reliability? Most platforms themselves acknowledge a degree of uncertainty in their calculations. Difficult, under these conditions, to blindly trust them for such a crucial choice.
The Eternal Problem of the Business Model
Another structural difficulty. How to finance quality information on guidance? Platforms free for students must earn their living somewhere. Often, it is from the institutions themselves, which pay to improve their visibility.
This model inevitably creates a conflict of interest. How to guarantee the neutrality of a platform when the schools that finance it have every interest in embellishing their image? How to ensure that the programs highlighted are there for their real quality and not for their marketing budget?
This confusion between objective information and disguised advertising erodes the already fragile trust of families in these tools.
The Human Factor: The Missing Link
At the heart of the problem lies an obvious fact that the system seems to have forgotten. Guidance is above all a human affair. What high school students need is not primarily more data or more sophisticated algorithms. It is listening, time, support.
Yet guidance counselors are overwhelmed, sometimes with several hundred students to follow. Head teachers do what they can, but often lack up-to-date information themselves on higher education programs. Parents, when present, sometimes project their own aspirations or their own failures onto their children.
Result: guidance is done in haste, between two classes, in the urgency of Parcoursup, without the time needed to mature, explore, make mistakes and start again.
A Crisis That Goes Beyond Information
The chaos of post-baccalaureate guidance is not just an organizational problem or a lack of tools. It is the symptom of a society that asks adolescents to choose their life at an age when they are still building themselves.
It is also the reflection of an education system that has multiplied programs without always thinking through their coherence, of an increasingly illegible labor market, and of public institutions that have gradually disinvested from the field of support in favor of administrative logistics alone.
Rethinking Guidance: A Strategic Imperative
Initiatives to improve guidance are multiplying. But as long as they do not tackle the deep causes of the problem, they will only put band-aids on a wooden leg.
What the guidance system truly needs is not yet another digital platform or a more powerful algorithm. It is time, human resources, and the right to make mistakes too. One should be able to reorient without losing a year, explore several paths without being stigmatized, benefit from personalized and regular support throughout high school, not only in the final year in the urgency of Parcoursup.
The chaos of post-baccalaureate guidance is not a fatality. It is a political and budgetary choice. As long as we do not recognize this, high school students will continue to play Russian roulette with their future. And in ten years, we will still be making the same damning observations.
Mentivis supports higher education institutions, rectorates, regions and private education actors in redesigning their guidance systems. Our method rests on three pillars: structuring coherent support pathways throughout high school; deploying pedagogical and digital solutions in service of humans and not the reverse; and training educational teams in new support practices.
We do not believe in miracle solutions or providential algorithms. We believe in the alliance of professional expertise, collective intelligence and well-designed tools to give meaning and serenity back to a key moment in young people's lives.
Guidance is not an equation to solve. It is a path to build, step by step, with method and kindness.
Contact us to discuss it.
Mentivis supports higher education institutions, rectorates, regions and private education actors in redesigning their guidance systems.
Our method rests on three pillars: structuring coherent support pathways throughout high school; deploying pedagogical and digital solutions in service of humans and not the reverse; and training educational teams in new support practices.
